Macro / Misc.


November 15, 2024

Trump Appointees: Our Take

By Joe Lieber

If taken individually, we would expect Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. all to lose their confirmation battles and either have their names withdrawn for consideration or lose a Senate floor vote….

Read More >>

November 15, 2024

(DKNG, CZR, FLUT, MGM, PENN) Texas Sports Gaming Update

By Joe Lieber

Investors should keep an eye on whether Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R-TX), an opponent of legalizing sports betting, is appointed to a position in the Trump administration, as some reports have speculated given his…

Read More >>

November 14, 2024

Macro Sequencing: Tariffs, Tax Cuts, and a Quick Take on Nominations

By Joe Lieber

Key Takeaways:   We see the ~60% China tariffs being implemented before the tax cuts are passed and likely within the first 100 days.   We believe there’s a very good chance tax cuts pass…

Read More >>

November 13, 2024

Louisiana 51% Sports Betting Tax Hike Bill Withdrawn

By Joe Lieber

In positive news for DKNG, CZR, MGM and PENN, Louisiana state Rep. Roger Wilder (R) withdrew his bill this morning that would hike taxes on sports gambling from 15% to 51%.  Yesterday, we wrote here…

Read More >>

November 12, 2024

(DKNG, CZR, FLUT, MGM, PENN) Don’t Bet on Louisiana’s 51% Tax Hike

By Joe Lieber

We doubt that legislation introduced yesterday by State Rep. Roger Wilder (R) to increase the sports Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) tax from 15% to 51% in Louisiana will be passed in the special session, which…

Read More >>

November 8, 2024

DC Quick Takes: Lame Duck, House Elections Update and Beyond

By Joe Lieber

Congress is back next week for the lame duck session and there is a laundry list of items that various constituencies would like to see enacted. Meanwhile, it still looks like the Republicans will maintain…

Read More >>

November 6, 2024

Trump Winners and Losers

By Joe Lieber

A Trump victory has wide ramifications for taxes, trade, M&A as well as for many various sectors like healthcare, infrastructure, consumer, and others. Republicans have won back the Senate and, as of publication, the House…

Read More >>

November 5, 2024

Election Day: Political Potpourri

By Joe Lieber

We continue to believe Trump has the slightest of edges in the election. The GOP is likely to win three Senate seats, giving them a 52-48 advantage, and the House is very close with a…

Read More >>

November 4, 2024

UBER, LYFT on the Ballot

By Joe Lieber

We continue to expect that a Massachusetts ballot measure affecting Uber (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) is very likely to pass, but we believe it shows that the gig companies are winning the regulatory battle.    Meanwhile,…

Read More >>

November 1, 2024

2024 Election: Our Final Call

By Joe Lieber

As we head into the last few days of the 2024 election, we continue to believe that former President Donald Trump has a slight edge over Vice President Kamala Harris. We see the Republicans picking…

Read More >>