March 30, 2026

Hospitals, Insurer, Home Care, HSAs, PBMs: What Is a Realistic Federal Healthcare Savings Target in Reconciliation?

By Beth Steindecker

As the prospects have risen for another budget reconciliation bill, so has the risk for another legislative round of healthcare spending cuts, pressuring insurers, hospitals and home care and hospice agencies as a partial pay-fors…

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March 27, 2026

Quarterly Catalysts 2Q26: Medtech & Biopharma

By John Leppard

With government policy in a seemingly endless state of flux, we offer investors our quarterly lookahead to what we view as the most relevant catalysts across the medtech, biopharma, diagnostics, and life science tools (LST)…

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March 24, 2026

Hospitals, IRFs, SNFs, Hospices, IPFs, LTCHs: Expectations for FY27 Medicare Rate Proposals

By Beth Steindecker

With CMS set to release in the coming weeks FY27 Medicare payment proposals for inpatient providers (inpatient hospitals, hospices, inpatient rehab facilities, skilled nursing facilities, inpatient psych facilities, and long-term care hospitals), we expect most…

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March 24, 2026

AI Policy: Trump Blueprint Debate; Limited NVDA Export Risk

By Joe Lieber

Recent developments on the AI front – including the Trump administration’s recently released AI policy blueprint and a letter made public today from Sens. Jim Banks (R-IN) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), urging an immediate pause in Nvidia (NVDA) AI chip exports to China, highlighting that while there will continue to be a great deal of sound coming out of DC, we’re…

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March 24, 2026

Rx Pricing: MFN “Deals” & Legal Landmines

By John Leppard

Our review of comment submissions for CMS’s most favored nation (MFN) drug pricing model proposals in Medicare Part D (GUARD) and B (GLOBE) leave us with just ~30% odds of their being implemented. The risk…

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March 23, 2026

Capitol Policy Weekly: Iran Conflict, Farm Aid and Defense Funding in Focus, DHS Shutdown Talks

By Joe Lieber

With both chambers in session this week ahead of a scheduled two-week recess, Washington’s focus remains concentrated on a narrow set of issues, including:  The evolving U.S.-Iran conflict, which is expected to include another War Powers resolution in the Senate….

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March 18, 2026

META, GOOGL, RDDT: Section 230 Under Attack in Senate Commerce Committee Hearing

By Joe Lieber

While this morning’s Senate Commerce Committee hearing, entitled “Liability or Deniability? Platform Power as Section 230 Turns 30,” was lively and somewhat surprisingly well attended, we seriously doubt any material erosion of Section 230 protections for social media companies such as Meta (META), Alphabet’s YouTube (GOOGL), and Reddit (RDDT) will pass…

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March 17, 2026

(SNAP, RBLX, GOOGL, META) Kids Online Safety Legislation: Narrow Path Despite Renewed Momentum

By Joe Lieber

We estimate roughly a 35% probability that Congress will enact a youth online safety legislative package, including the Kids Online Safety Act (KOSA), COPPA 2.0, and the Kids Off Social Media Act (KOSMA) or similar legislation. The combo of these measures would be negative for Snap (SNAP), Roblox (RBLX), Meta (META), and Alphabet’s…

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March 16, 2026

Medicare Advantage: Final CY27 Rates Expectations of 1%-3% Increase [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, PRVA, ASTH, EVH, DVA, FRE.DE]

By Beth Steindecker

We continue to expect CMS’s final CY27 rate announcement for Medicare Advantage (MA) insurers [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC], affecting their contracted value-based care providers [PRVA, ASTH, EVH], to produce a low single-digit increase…

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March 16, 2026

Capitol Policy Weekly: Iran Conflict Likely, Fed Standoff Continues, SAVE Act Politics and the Government Shutdown Continues

By Joe Lieber

With both the House and Senate back in Washington, the focused will be on a number of issues, including:   The evolving Iran conflict.   The standoff surrounding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.  Senate debate over the SAVE America Act.   Also, the Federal…

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March 13, 2026

Trade Potpourri: Sec. 301, Court Challenge to Sec. 122 Tariffs, U.S.-China Trade and the USMCA

By Joe Lieber

There is a lot happening on the trade front from 60 Section 301 tariff country investigations announced by the Trump administration yesterday, to court dates set in the Section 122 legal challenge, and the ongoing USMCA saga. Taken together, these issues are likely to…

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March 13, 2026

Amazon (AMZN) Satellite Waiver: FCC Relief Likely Despite Carr’s Comments on Deployment Shortfall

By Joe Lieber

Amazon’s (AMZN) request for additional time to meet its Project Kuiper deployment timeframe has attracted renewed scrutiny from the FCC, given recent comments from FCC Chairman Brendan Carr—including a post on X this week criticizing the company’s opposition to SpaceX’s satellite expansion and…

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March 12, 2026

Hospitals: Latest CMS Batch of Approved Hospital-Specific DPPs [HCA, THC, UHS]

By Beth Steindecker

CMS’s latest approvals for hospital-specific Medicaid state directed payment programs (DPPs) provide incremental positive news for HCA, THC and UHS due to their footprint in certain states (Georgia, Michigan, Kentucky, and Nevada) where CMS recently…

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March 10, 2026

GKOS: Less Sanguine on iDose Coverage Questions

By John Leppard

Despite recent speculation that Medicare Administrative Contractors (MACs) may not pursue a formal coverage policy for GKOS iDose procedures, we continue to expect a draft local coverage determination (LCD) in Q2 / Q3. Following the…

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March 10, 2026

Medicaid Expansion Levels – Thoughts on Potential 2027 Enrollment Declines [MOH, CNC, ELV]

By Beth Steindecker

With Medicaid insurers [MOH, CNC, ELV] projecting more muted Medicaid enrollment changes for 2026 compared with the sizable attrition during the post-pandemic Medicaid unwinding – and little guidance on what comes next – investors are…

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