December 8, 2025

Capitol Policy Weekly: ACA Subsidies, Farm Aid, the NDAA, Permitting Reform, Sports Betting, U.S.-India Trade Talks and Ukraine

By Joe Lieber

The House and Senate are in session for the next two weeks before taking off for the rest of the year. As for this week, we see the following items that could be important to…

Read More >>

December 4, 2025

ACA Situation Stuck in Place but We Remain Optimistic of Eventual HIX Deal with a Slipping Timeline

By Beth Steindecker

The recent fits-and-starts for around a compromise to avert expiration of the ACA enhanced premium tax credits (eAPTCs) at year-end unsurprisingly remains stalled, with no meaningful concessions from either side’s leaders. As we head into…

Read More >>

December 3, 2025

(NVDA, AMD, V, MA, WMT, TGT, HD) NDAA Update: Tech and Credit Card Amendments Unlikely to Survive

By Joe Lieber

We continue to expect that three of the most material non-defense-related items that some members of Congress hoped to include in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) will not make the final cut. Those amendments are:  GAIN…

Read More >>

December 1, 2025

Capitol Policy Weekly: Farm Aid, the GAIN AI Act, U.S.-Canada Trade, Russia-Ukraine and a Tennessee Special Election

By Joe Lieber

Congress returns to Washington this week, with little on the formal legislative agenda likely to move markets. Still, investors should keep an eye on the following developments:   A potential Trump administration farm aid announcement.   Progress…

Read More >>

November 30, 2025

Home Health: CY26 Medicare Cuts Softened; CY27+ Still Points to Small YoY Declines [PNTG, EHAB, BTSG, ADUS, AVAH, UNH]

By Beth Steindecker

Home health (HH) agencies [PNTG, EHAB, BTSG, ADUS, AVAH, UNH] received meaningful relief in Friday’s final CY26 Medicare HH reimbursement rule, which pares back the proposed aggregate spending cut and rate discounts. However, CMS signals…

Read More >>

November 29, 2025

DXCM, TNDM, BBNX, RMD, COLOB.DC, CTEC.LN: Competitive Bidding Comes for CGM, Pumps, & More

By John Leppard

With CMS finalizing [Fact Sheet, Final Rule] its intention to include continuous glucose monitors (CGM) [DXCM, ABT], insulin pumps [TNDM, BBNX], and urological / ostomy supplies [COLOB.DC, CTEC.LN] in the next round of the Competitive…

Read More >>

November 26, 2025

Medicare Advantage Tech Changes Proposal: RFI Eases Risk Adjustment Concerns, Star Rating Changes Afoot [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, PRVA, ASTH]

By Beth Steindecker

Our read of the proposed Contract Year 2027 Policy and Technical Changes regulation for Medicare Advantage (MA) and Part D (fact sheet here), confirms our expectations for a positive regulatory backdrop for 2027 for MA [HUM, ALHC,…

Read More >>

November 25, 2025

[DXCM, ABT] CGM Report Suggest Competitive Bidding Coming

By John Leppard

Publication of the HHS Office of Inspector General’s (OIG) long-awaited report today on Medicare payments for continuous glucose monitors (CGM): (A) bolsters our long-held view that the agency intends to finalize its intention to include…

Read More >>

November 24, 2025

ACA HIX Fix: Enactment Odds Improve But Details TBD [OSCR, CNC, ACHC, THC, CYH, UHS, DVA, HQY]

By Beth Steindecker

Media reports (here, here, here) indicate that an ACA compromise may be imminent, with President Trump reportedly offering to support extension of the enhanced premium tax subsidies (with limitations) while channeling a portion into health…

Read More >>

November 23, 2025

ASC Wins in Final CMS Rate Rule, Slight Hospital Wins but Lingering Concerns

By Beth Steindecker

Ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs) [SGRY, AmSurg, THC, HCA, UNH] secured some policy wins in the final CY26 Medicare outpatient prospective payment system (OPPS) rule, consistent with the July proposal (notably a broadened covered procedure list,…

Read More >>

November 22, 2025

INSP, NYXH, LIVN: Surprise (But Short Lived?) Payment Win

By John Leppard

CMS’s surprise decision to reassign cranial nerve neurostimulator code CPT 64568 to a $45K New Tech APC (+48% YoY) represents a significant 2026 tailwind for both vagus (VNS) [LIVN’s Sentiva] and hypoglossal nerve stimulation (HNS)…

Read More >>

November 20, 2025

Dialysis: Modest Increase & Consistent Rates for Oral Phosphate Binders in Final Medicare Rule [DVA, FRE.DE, American Renal]

By Beth Steindecker

CMS’s final CY26 Medicare payment rule for dialysis centers [DVA, FRE.DE, privately held American Renal] largely aligned with expectations. The rule delivers: A slightly higher YoY increase in aggregate spending, reflecting updated inflation and productivity…

Read More >>

November 20, 2025

(PCAR, VLVLY, DTRUY) EPA27 Truck Standards: Repeal Proposal Expected as Early as December

By Joe Lieber

We expect the administration to release a proposed rule in December to repeal or amend the Biden-era EPA27 light-, medium-, and heavy-duty vehicles standards, with a full repeal appearing more likely (65%) at this point. …

Read More >>

November 19, 2025

Finance Committee Hearing: Still Think ACA Subsidy Deal is More Likely Even If Late [OSCR, CNC, CYH, UHS, DVA, FMS, HQY, WBS]

By Beth Steindecker

This morning’s Senate Finance Committee hearing on rising healthcare costs did little to break the stalemate on Obamacare, but no one expected a breakthrough today. The hearing primarily served as a venue for both sides…

Read More >>

November 19, 2025

DC Quick Takes: Highway Bill, Permitting Reform, Federal AI Standard, GAIN AI Act, Federal Deposit Insurance

By Joe Lieber

Today we examine five market-relevant issues, including: Prospects for a highway bill next year [VMC, MLM, NUE, CX, CAT, DE, PSN, URI] Likelihood of permitting reform, which could accelerate infrastructure development, including utilities and energy…

Read More >>