Healthcare Payers / Providers


February 21, 2025

UNH: Thoughts on Reported DOJ Investigation

By Beth Steindecker

Today’s reaction to the WSJ report that UnitedHealth (UNH) is under civil investigation by the DOJ for Medicare False Claims Act violations strikes us as overwrought, with ultimate financial liabilities (still 1-2 years away) unlikely…

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February 19, 2025

[CHE, ADUS, Gentiva, Compassus]: CMS Grants Hospices Their Wish on SFP But Careful What You Wish For

By Beth Steindecker

While hospices [CHE, ADUS, private Gentiva, Compassus] are receiving a reprieve for now from more intensive oversight and the threat of termination from Medicare after CMS announced it was going to sideline the statutorily mandated…

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February 10, 2025

HUM: Government Legal Response Puts Up Fight in Star Ratings Lawsuit, We Still Favor HUM

By Beth Steindecker

We expect Humana (HUM) to ultimately prevail in its lawsuit against HHS to secure higher 2025 Medicare Advantage (MA) star ratings, but it may take longer than we originally expected (as early as March-April). While…

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February 10, 2025

Sizing Medicaid Work Requirement Risks [CNC, MOH, ELV, THC, ARDT, ENS, ADUS]

By Beth Steindecker

As we await the House’s budget reconciliation strategy this week, the Senate FY25 budget resolution proposal released late Friday bolsters our expectations for Medicaid work requirements, which we see as one the most likely Medicaid-related…

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February 4, 2025

[ENSG, PACS, SBRA, OHI]: Potential Timing of the Nursing Home Staffing Rule’s Demise

By Beth Steindecker

With the briefing in a federal lawsuit having concluded and Congress on the hunt for legislative savings, the question is when, not if, CMS’s minimum nurse staffing rule is killed, eliminating the overhang and potential…

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January 28, 2025

[CNC, MOH, ARDT, UHS, ENSG, ADUS]: Medicaid Funding & Best Bet on OMB Funding Memo

By Beth Steindecker

We lean against yesterday’s OMB directive for temporarily pausing federal funding for grants, loans and programs applying largely to Medicaid’s payments to the states for Medicaid insurers (CNC, MOH, ELV, UNH, CVS) or for reimbursements…

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January 22, 2025

[OSCR, CNC, HCA, THC, WELL] Optimistic on ACA Subsidies, But Watching Other Risks

By Beth Steindecker

While investors in insurers and providers seem most concerned about the fate of the expiring enhanced ACA subsidies, which we still expect to be revised but ultimately extended later this year, other – albeit smaller…

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January 17, 2025

MedPAC Provider Recs Likely to Be Ignored in Favor of Savings Targets Like Site Neutrality, Medicaid, Rule Repeals

By Beth Steindecker

We doubt Medicare Payment Advisory Commission’s (MedPAC) FY/CY26 Medicare payment recommendations for home health agencies, inpatient rehab facilities, skilled nursing facilities, hospices, dialysis centers, hospitals, and physician offices, which were voted on Thursday in nearly…

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January 16, 2025

UNH: Though Confident, Public Policy Questions Remain

By Beth Steindecker

UnitedHealth’s (UNH) comments during its 4Q and full year 2024 earnings call about changes its it taking to head off certain public policy concerns (PBMs, prior authorization/claim denials) seem like the company is in catch-up…

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January 14, 2025

[CVS, CI, UNH]: FTC 2nd (Negative) Report on PBMs Doesn’t Change Overhang Trajectory

By Beth Steindecker

The FTC’s unanimously-supported release of its second interim report on pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs), focused on specialty drug dispensing at affiliated pharmacies [CVS, CI, UNH] that generated an extra $7.3B in revenue over six years,…

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