April 29, 2025
[CNC, MOH, ELV, ARDT, UHS, CYH] Rising Risk of Medicaid Expansion Reforms in Reconciliation – Per-Capita Cap in the Lead
A week away from an anticipated House Energy and Commerce committee (E&C) hearing – and whose timing could easily slip – we do not see any release of pressure on Medicaid insurers [CNC, MOH, ELV,…
April 21, 2025
Medicaid Provider Tax Proposal: Too Little Info to Appropriately Size Threat [UHS, ARDT, MOH, CNC, ACHC, ENSG]
Today’s Office of Management and Budget (OMB) posting that it is reviewing a proposed CMS regulation about appropriate use of Medicaid provider taxes offers too little information to appropriately size the threat to hospitals (UHS,…
April 16, 2025
Trump Biopharma EO: Laying the Groundwork for Additional Hospital Reconciliation Targets [municipal-backed, HCA, THC, CYH, ARDT, UHS]
President Trump’s executive order (EO) on biopharma yesterday suggests the hospital sector is a larger target than administration officials have let on to date and seems to proffer more substance about additional ways to garner…
April 13, 2025
Vanilla Medicare Inpatient Provider Proposals [HCA, THC, ARDT, EHC, SEM, CHE, ADUS, ENSG, PACS, UHS, ACHC]
Medicare’s proposed FY26 payment regulations for inpatient hospitals [HCA, THC, CYH, ARDT, UHS, MPW, municipal bond-backed facilities], inpatient rehab facilities (IRFs) [EHC, SEM], hospices [CHE, ADUS, Gentiva], long-term care hospitals (LTCHs) [SEM, Kindred], skilled nursing…
April 10, 2025
[CVS, CI, UNH]: Senate Confirmation of 3rd FTC Commissioner Allows for Future Resumption of PBM Litigation
Today’s successful Senate confirmation of Mark Meador to join the FTC as a commissioner paves the way for the FTC to officially resume its antitrust litigation against the pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) [CVS, CI, UNH,…
April 7, 2025
[HUM, ALHC, UNH, CNC, AGL, PRVA]: MA’s 5%+ Increase Met Our Expectations, But Longer-Term Coding and Part D Questions Remain
The final CY26 Medicare Advantage (MA) rate announcement met our previously-published optimistic expectations for a comfortable mid-single-digit YoY benchmark rate increase for MA insurers [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC] with CMS finalizing a 5.06% increase, largely…
April 6, 2025
[HUM, ALHC, UNH] Final Medicare Advantage Tech Changes Reg: Most Proposals Dropped Without Explanation, Await CY26 Rate Notice
CMS’s final CY26 technical changes rule for Medicare Advantage (MA) and Part D plans [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC] lived up to expectations of rolling back proposed restrictions in response to consumer complaints, but…
April 3, 2025
Senate Budget Resolution & Healthcare Offsets
In response to yesterday’s Senate budget resolution proposal and the GOP’s assumption of the current policy baseline for scoring purposes, we think Congress continues to target Medicaid, Medicare hospital site neutrality, and PBM reforms as…
March 25, 2025
HUM, ALHC, UNH: Optimistic for Mid-Single Digit MA Rate Increase for CY26, Upcoding Remains a Longer-Term Issue
Anticipating CMS’s issuance of its final CY26 Medicare Advantage (MA) rate notice within the next two weeks (on or before Monday, April 7), we remain optimistic about near-term regulatory changes for MA insurers [HUM, ALHC,…
March 14, 2025
Oz Nomination: Moving towards Senate Confirmation, Medicare Advantage Comments Show Mixed View
Today’s Senate Finance Committee confirmation hearing of Dr. Mehmet Oz as Trump’s CMS Administrator provided limited new insights into his approach to Medicare, Medicaid, Obamacare, pharmacy benefit management reforms, health savings account adoption, and healthcare…