Healthcare Payers / Providers


October 20, 2026

[DVA, FRE.DE] HHS Kidney Plan: Less of a Plan, More of a Think Piece; Low Near-Term Policy Risk

By Beth Steindecker

Below are our thoughts on this afternoon’s HHS release of the National Kidney Dialysis Plan [DVA, FRE.DE, private US Renal, Innovative Renal Care]: The stock reaction [DVA, FRE.DE] seems overblown, especially given the limited near-term…

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October 18, 2026

[HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, AGL, ASTH] Medicare Advantage: Friday’s Proposal Leaves Bigger Questions Unanswered

By Beth Steindecker

Questions remain about potential CY28 policy pressures on Medicare Advantage (MA) insurers [HUM, ALHC, CLOV, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, MOH] and value-based care providers [AGL, ASTH, PRVA, EVH, private Aledade], particularly Star Ratings, risk adjustment,…

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October 16, 2026

[NUTX, TeamHealth, Radiology Partners, SCP Health, UNH, CI, ELV] NSA Reform: Arbitration Under Fire, but Benchmark Shift Unlikely

By Beth Steindecker

Recent developments are raising the risk of future changes to the No Surprises Act, with implications for specialty physicians and hospitals [NUTX, private TeamHealth, Radiology Partners, SCP Health] and commercial insurers [UNH, CI, ELV, CVS]….

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October 9, 2026

[HUM, CLOV, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC]: MA Star Ratings Raises Stake for Litigation Anew and Policy Debate

By Beth Steindecker

While last night’s widely telegraphed Star Ratings delivered clear winners [HUM, CLOV, Devoted Health (pvt)] and losers [ALHC] (and a mixed bag for UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, and MOH), potentially underappreciated methodological choices by CMS…

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October 8, 2026

[RDNT, LMRI, Radiology Partners] CMS’s OPPS Imaging Site-Neutral Proposal Likely to Stick, Freestanding Imaging Still Poised to Benefit

By Beth Steindecker

Despite lopsided stakeholder opposition, we continue to expect CMS to finalize largely as initially sought its CY27 proposal cutting Medicare reimbursement for 337 common non-contrast imaging procedures at grandfathered off-campus hospital outpatient departments (HOPDs) while…

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October 6, 2026

[HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, CLOV] Appeals Court Seems Skeptical of CMS But RADV Overhang Not Going Away Completely

By Beth Steindecker

Following yesterday’s oral appellate arguments over HUM’s challenge to Medicare Advantage (MA) risk adjustment-related audit rules, we believe a majority of the three-judge panel is likely to side with the company and the lower court…

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September 30, 2026

[Municipal Hospitals, HCA, THC, OPCH, CVS, MRK, PFE]: 340B Drug Reimbursement Expectations in the Final Medicare OPPS Rule

By Beth Steindecker

With CMS likely to release its final CY27 Medicare Hospital Outpatient Prospective Payment System (OPPS) rule in early November, we continue to expect a substantial cut to Medicare payment for 340B-acquired drugs administered in participating…

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September 22, 2026

[OSCR, CNC, HCA, THC, DVA, FRE.DE]: ACA Anti-Fraud Actions are More Noise Than New – and Potentially Material

By Beth Steindecker

This afternoon’s White House announcement of additional Obamacare anti-fraud actions does not change the direction of the ACA reset underway over the past year, nor our expectations for 2027 and 2028. While the actions appear…

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September 18, 2026

[PNTG, BTSG, AVAH, ADUS] Home Health Comment Review Reinforces Medicare Stable Outlook and Suggests Paths for Upside

By Beth Steindecker

Based on our review of stakeholder comments to CMS’s proposed CY27 Medicare home health (HH) payment rule, we continue to see an avenue for HH-specific upside in the final regulation due in late October/early November…

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September 14, 2026

[HCA, THC, DVA, PRVA, ENSG, PNTG]: Mapping Provider Policy Risk / Upside by Congressional Control in November Elections

By Beth Steindecker

With the November elections less than two months away, we assess how different congressional outcomes could reshape the healthcare legislative agenda for hospitals, dialysis centers, value-based care (VBC) providers, skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), post-acute care…

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