February 26, 2025
[CI, CVS, UNH, HUM, ELV, GDRX]: House Hearing Retreads Already Agreed-to PBM Reforms, Still Likely as Legislative Payfors
This morning’s House Energy and Commerce Health Subcommittee hearing on “needed” pharmacy benefit manager (PBM) reforms attempted to reinvigorate the past bipartisan and bicameral consensus for legislative changes to rein in the PBMs, but until…
February 23, 2025
Medicaid Reform Watch: Still Early On – What to Watch for [CNC, MOH, ARDT, CYH, ENSG, ADUS]
As the budget resolution process and subsequent reconciliation strategy unfolds, Medicaid reforms that have posed headline enrollment and payment risk to Medicaid insurers [CNC, MOH, ELV], dual eligible insurers [UNH, HUM, ELV, CVS],hospitals [ARDT, CYH,…
February 21, 2025
UNH: Thoughts on Reported DOJ Investigation
Today’s reaction to the WSJ report that UnitedHealth (UNH) is under civil investigation by the DOJ for Medicare False Claims Act violations strikes us as overwrought, with ultimate financial liabilities (still 1-2 years away) unlikely…
February 19, 2025
[CHE, ADUS, Gentiva, Compassus]: CMS Grants Hospices Their Wish on SFP But Careful What You Wish For
While hospices [CHE, ADUS, private Gentiva, Compassus] are receiving a reprieve for now from more intensive oversight and the threat of termination from Medicare after CMS announced it was going to sideline the statutorily mandated…
February 10, 2025
HUM: Government Legal Response Puts Up Fight in Star Ratings Lawsuit, We Still Favor HUM
We expect Humana (HUM) to ultimately prevail in its lawsuit against HHS to secure higher 2025 Medicare Advantage (MA) star ratings, but it may take longer than we originally expected (as early as March-April). While…
February 10, 2025
Sizing Medicaid Work Requirement Risks [CNC, MOH, ELV, THC, ARDT, ENS, ADUS]
As we await the House’s budget reconciliation strategy this week, the Senate FY25 budget resolution proposal released late Friday bolsters our expectations for Medicaid work requirements, which we see as one the most likely Medicaid-related…
February 4, 2025
[ENSG, PACS, SBRA, OHI]: Potential Timing of the Nursing Home Staffing Rule’s Demise
With the briefing in a federal lawsuit having concluded and Congress on the hunt for legislative savings, the question is when, not if, CMS’s minimum nurse staffing rule is killed, eliminating the overhang and potential…
January 28, 2025
[CNC, MOH, ARDT, UHS, ENSG, ADUS]: Medicaid Funding & Best Bet on OMB Funding Memo
We lean against yesterday’s OMB directive for temporarily pausing federal funding for grants, loans and programs applying largely to Medicaid’s payments to the states for Medicaid insurers (CNC, MOH, ELV, UNH, CVS) or for reimbursements…
January 22, 2025
[OSCR, CNC, HCA, THC, WELL] Optimistic on ACA Subsidies, But Watching Other Risks
While investors in insurers and providers seem most concerned about the fate of the expiring enhanced ACA subsidies, which we still expect to be revised but ultimately extended later this year, other – albeit smaller…
January 17, 2025
MedPAC Provider Recs Likely to Be Ignored in Favor of Savings Targets Like Site Neutrality, Medicaid, Rule Repeals
We doubt Medicare Payment Advisory Commission’s (MedPAC) FY/CY26 Medicare payment recommendations for home health agencies, inpatient rehab facilities, skilled nursing facilities, hospices, dialysis centers, hospitals, and physician offices, which were voted on Thursday in nearly…