Macro / Misc.


November 22, 2024

Potential SNAP/Food Stamp Changes Under Trump

By Joe Lieber

We believe the concerns over cuts/changes to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP)/food stamp program are overblown as a result of the Republican sweep, whether RFK Jr. is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human…

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November 19, 2024

DC Quick Takes: Govt. Funding, Credit Card Swipe Fees, SNAP Program, DOGE and Crypto Legislation

By Joe Lieber

With Congress in the second week of the lame duck session and as President-elect Trump continues to make headlines, there are several issues important to investors that we want to touch base on, including:   How…

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November 15, 2024

Trump Appointees: Our Take

By Joe Lieber

If taken individually, we would expect Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. all to lose their confirmation battles and either have their names withdrawn for consideration or lose a Senate floor vote….

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November 15, 2024

(DKNG, CZR, FLUT, MGM, PENN) Texas Sports Gaming Update

By Joe Lieber

Investors should keep an eye on whether Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R-TX), an opponent of legalizing sports betting, is appointed to a position in the Trump administration, as some reports have speculated given his…

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November 14, 2024

Macro Sequencing: Tariffs, Tax Cuts, and a Quick Take on Nominations

By Joe Lieber

Key Takeaways:   We see the ~60% China tariffs being implemented before the tax cuts are passed and likely within the first 100 days.   We believe there’s a very good chance tax cuts pass…

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November 13, 2024

Louisiana 51% Sports Betting Tax Hike Bill Withdrawn

By Joe Lieber

In positive news for DKNG, CZR, MGM and PENN, Louisiana state Rep. Roger Wilder (R) withdrew his bill this morning that would hike taxes on sports gambling from 15% to 51%.  Yesterday, we wrote here…

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November 12, 2024

(DKNG, CZR, FLUT, MGM, PENN) Don’t Bet on Louisiana’s 51% Tax Hike

By Joe Lieber

We doubt that legislation introduced yesterday by State Rep. Roger Wilder (R) to increase the sports Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) tax from 15% to 51% in Louisiana will be passed in the special session, which…

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November 8, 2024

DC Quick Takes: Lame Duck, House Elections Update and Beyond

By Joe Lieber

Congress is back next week for the lame duck session and there is a laundry list of items that various constituencies would like to see enacted. Meanwhile, it still looks like the Republicans will maintain…

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November 6, 2024

Trump Winners and Losers

By Joe Lieber

A Trump victory has wide ramifications for taxes, trade, M&A as well as for many various sectors like healthcare, infrastructure, consumer, and others. Republicans have won back the Senate and, as of publication, the House…

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November 5, 2024

Election Day: Political Potpourri

By Joe Lieber

We continue to believe Trump has the slightest of edges in the election. The GOP is likely to win three Senate seats, giving them a 52-48 advantage, and the House is very close with a…

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