November 17, 2025
CMS Provider Tax Guidance: More Details, But Not Necessarily Stricter or More Aggressive Interpretation [ARDT, CYH, HCA, THC, UHS, CNC, MOH, ELV]
CMS’s preliminary guidance to states on its interpretation of the One Big Beautiful Bill’s (OBBB) Medicaid provider tax provisions does not appear to tighten the screws on states, and thereby threaten hospitals [ARDT, CYH, HCA,…
November 9, 2025
Obamacare HIX Fix: HSAs for All or Compromise on Subsidy Changes? We Still Think the Latter [OSCR, CNC, ELV, MOH, UNH, HQY, WBS, EHTH]
President Trump’s Truth Social posts over the weekend, along with that of other Republicans, suggest an existential threat for Obamacare insurers [OSCR, CNC, ELV, MOH, UNH] and potentially other commercial health insurers [CI, CVS] while…
November 5, 2025
Medicare Advantage: Still Expecting Light Regulatory Touch for CY27 [HUM, ALHC, AGL, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, PRVA]
Listening to recent earnings calls held by various Medicare Advantage (MA) insurers and value-based care providers [HUM, ALHC, AGL, UNH, CVS, ELV] leaves us with the following thoughts on the MA regulatory policy environment for…
November 3, 2025
Physicians: Final Rule Favors Independent Doctors / Freestanding Centers but Cost Growth and Rate Pressures on Facility-Based Doctors Remain [RDNT, USPH, SEM, PRVA, ASTH, RadPar, Envision]
CMS’s final CY26 Medicare Physician Fee Schedule (PFS), released late Friday, offered a split-screen picture for physicians, largely depending on whether they provide care in the office / freestanding center (positive) or in a facility…
October 27, 2025
Health Insurers & Providers 4Q25 Issue Items
Even amid a government shutdown, the remaining months of 4Q25 promises various policy catalysts across the health insurer and provider landscapes, informing company growth and revenue prospects for the year ahead. To help investors keep…
October 21, 2025
Rural Health Transformation Program (RHTP): Seems Less About Hospitals and More About Systemic Change [CYH, ARDT, THC, municipal facilities, OMDA, TDOC, RDNT]
As the November 5 deadline approaches for state submissions to the highly anticipated $50 billion Rural Health Transformation Program (RHTP), uncertainty remains about whether – or even how – these funds will reach hospitals [CYH,…
October 17, 2025
Trump’s Fertility Push May Cut Costs, But Adoption Barriers May Remain [PGNY, Maven, Carrot, MRK.GY]
The Trump administration’s new guidance on employer-sponsored fertility benefits and deal with Merck KGaA’s (MRK.GY) EMD Serono to sell select fertility drugs at most-favored-nation (MFN) prices, which were announced Thursday, boosts visibility for companies like…
October 15, 2025
PBMs: Policy Headwinds Persist with Some New Developments [CVS, CI, UNH, ELV]
Policy headwinds facing pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) [CVS, CI, UNH, ELV] remain entrenched despite shifting details since this spring. Recent developments, like California’s PBM law, White House drug pricing efforts, and the FTC litigation, underscore…
October 14, 2025
[HUM] Stars Rating Litigation Likely Brings Chapter to Close
We think this morning’s court ruling against Humana (HUM) in its Medicare Advantage (MA) Stars litigation is likely the end of the road in its efforts to secure a higher score for its 2026 payment…
October 8, 2025
[EHAB, PNTG, ADUS, BTSG, UNH, AVAH]: Medicare Home Health Expectations
We remain optimistic that home health companies [EHAB, PNTG, ADUS, BTSG, UNH, AVAH] will secure some mitigation in the final CY26 Medicare reimbursement rule, which may be released as early as month’s end and as…