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July 22, 2025

(LVY) Live Nation/Ticketmaster: Breakup Still in the Cards

By Joe Lieber

We wanted to provide an update on the potential breakup of Live Nation and Ticketmaster (LVY) after receiving some client questions on the topic. Our bottom line is that we see a 60-65% probability that…

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July 21, 2025

Capitol Policy Weekly: Trade, Appropriations, Epstein and a Crypto Recap

By Joe Lieber

We expect trade, appropriations and the Epstein controversy to dominate the news flow this week. Both the House and Senate are in session this week with the Senate tentatively scheduled to consider a group of…

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July 17, 2025

(UBER, LYFT) State Unionization Update

By Joe Lieber

We want to provide an update on state legislation that would allow ride-hail drivers for companies such as Uber (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) to unionize in California. We think that California legislation, AB 1340, the…

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July 16, 2025

MMSI: Wrapsody Pass-Through Reprieve Unlikely

By John Leppard

With shares of MMSI off today – we suspect in part on investor disappointment over the lack of any discussion of the company’s Transitional Pass-Through (TPT) payment application for its Wrapsody product in CMS’s CY26…

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July 16, 2025

Medicare CY26 OPPS Proposal: Hospital Outpatient Departments a Loser While ASCs a Winner

By Beth Steindecker

Hospitals [CYH, ARDT, UHS, THC, HCA] were on the losing end of the stick under CMS’s proposed CY26 Medicare reimbursement rule for hospital outpatient departments (HOPDs) and ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs) for a variety of…

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July 16, 2025

Misses For LNTH, LIVN, PRCT, Wins for BSX / MDT

By John Leppard

CMS’s CY26 hospital outpatient proposal last night hews closely to our expectations going in: INSP: With the company targeting use of LIVN’s cranial nerve code for its Inspire V device, payment group reassignment likely would…

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July 15, 2025

DC Quick Takes: Russian Sanctions; Trade; the Fed; and T-Bill Demand

By Joe Lieber

We want to highlight four issues this morning: 1) Russian sanctions; 2) trade; 3) Fed Chair Jerome Powell; and 4) increased T-bill demand as a result of the GENIUS Act—all four of which for the…

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July 15, 2025

Skin Substitutes: When it Rains it Pours [MDXG, ORGO, CTEC.LN, COLOB.DC]

By John Leppard

We view MDXG and ORGO as most negatively exposed to CMS’s proposed skin substitute policy issued last night, which would pay physicians a flat $125 / cm2 rather than product-specific rates based on Average Sales…

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July 15, 2025

Physician Fee Schedule: Despite 3+% Increase YoY, CMS Proposes Some Squeezes [RDNT, USPH, PRVA, RadPar, Envision]

By Beth Steindecker

While Monday night’s proposed CY26 Medicare Physician Fee Schedule (PFS) provides an annual rate increase for physicians of 3.3%+ compared to cuts during prior years, closer examination of the proposal reveals some potential reimbursement headwinds…

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July 14, 2025

PRCT: Pro Fee -28%, Competitor -25%

By John Leppard

CMS’s draft CY26 Physician Fee Schedule (PFS) released this evening would reduce payments for PRCT’s Aquablation by -28% in 2026, going from a volume-weighted average of $765 across the seven Medicare Administrative Contractors (MACs) to…

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