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June 10, 2026

Trump and the USMCA

By Joe Lieber

We wanted to provide our thoughts on comments made by President Trump earlier this afternoon when he said he was not looking to renew the USMCA. We do not interpret Trump’s comments as signaling an…

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June 10, 2026

GKOS iDose: MAC Pushback Persists

By John Leppard

We see little reason to alter our base case regarding Medicare coverage of GKOS’s iDose following yesterday’s first contractor open meeting on the five-MAC draft LCD issued in late May. While we believe the MACs…

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June 8, 2026

Capitol Policy Weekly: Reconciliation 3.0, Crypto Tax, Defense Right-to-Repair, and NextNav

By Joe Lieber

Both the House and Senate are in session this week, with the House expected to pass the $72 billion Customs and Border Protection (CBP) and Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) reconciliation bill after weeks of…

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June 3, 2026

DXCM: What to Expect When You’re Expecting CGM Coverage

By John Leppard

In advance of Dexcom’s (DXCM) readout of its CONNECT RCT this weekend, which management positions as a “powerful anchor” for broader Medicare CGM coverage in “all people with diabetes,” we ultimately expect a material increase…

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June 2, 2026

[CNC, MOH, ELV, HCA, THC, CYH] Medicaid Work Requirements: Deferment to States with Tighter Oversight in 2028; CMS Projects 15% Enrollment Decline

By Beth Steindecker

CMS’s long-awaited interim final rule implementing the One Big Beautiful Bill’s (OBBB) Medicaid Community Engagement (CE) requirements largely aligns with our expectations that CMS would defer to states on program design and implementation, which we…

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June 1, 2026

CLOV Star Ratings Legal Win Creates System Uncertainty but Potentially Strengthens HUM Appeal

By Beth Steindecker

Last week’s federal court ruling in favor Clover Health (CLOV) against CMS injects fresh uncertainty into the Medicare Advantage (MA) Star Ratings and quality bonus payment framework [UNH, HUM, ELV, CVS, ALHC, CNC, MOH]. While…

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June 1, 2026

Capitol Policy Weekly: Reconciliation Distraction, NDAA Tech Watch, Defense Spending and Privacy Preemption

By Joe Lieber

The House and Senate are both in session this week, but the market-relevant question is less about what Congress does over the next couple of weeks and more about how much time Republicans waste before…

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May 28, 2026

Surprise Billing: Pro-Providers, But Legal Questions Remain [NUTX, TeamHealth, Radiology Partners]

By Beth Steindecker

This morning’s final rule revising operations of the No Surprises Act (NSA) federal independent dispute resolution (IDR) process does not seem to upset the balance that has favored certain out-of-network specialist physicians and hospitals [NUTX,…

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May 28, 2026

INSP: Noridian’s Modifier & Service Date Inconsistencies

By John Leppard

With Noridian (17% of services) including instructions that physicians bill for Inspire Medical’s (INSP) Inspire V procedure with a -52 (reduced work / payment) modifier this morning, following a similar update from WPS on May…

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May 26, 2026

(META, GOOGL, SNAP, STUB, LYV) California Ban on Kids Access to Social Media and 10% Cap on Ticket Resale Like to Advance

By Joe Lieber

We wanted to give you and update on two bills in the California legislature, impacting META, GOOGL, SNAP, STUB, and LYV, that we have been following and which we expect to be considered on the…

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