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November 25, 2024

[CNC, MOH, ELV, THC, HCA, CYH, UHS]: Growing Overhang from Medicaid Legislative Reforms, But Watch for Vulnerable GOP Pushback

By Beth Steindecker

Key Takeaways: The risk overhang from potential Medicaid reforms to managed care organizations, hospitals, behavioral facilities, and other providers focused on these low-income enrollees will likely grow as the Trump administration staffs up and Congress…

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November 25, 2024

RFK’s Medical Coding Reforms: Don’t Hold Your Breath

By John Leppard

Key Takeaways: With investors questioning RFK’s reported plans to restructure the medical coding system used by Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial health insurers , we remain highly skeptical of meaningful changes within the next 5-10 years,…

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November 22, 2024

Potential SNAP/Food Stamp Changes Under Trump

By Joe Lieber

We believe the concerns over cuts/changes to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP)/food stamp program are overblown as a result of the Republican sweep, whether RFK Jr. is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human…

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November 20, 2024

[UNH, HUM, ALHC, AGL, PRVA, MD]: Trump’s Unorthodox CMS Pick Reinforces Already Anticipated Support for Medicare Advantage and Physicians

By Beth Steindecker

President Trump’s surprise and unorthodox nomination of Dr. Mehmet Oz to be CMS administrator, whom we presume will likely be confirmed, affords somewhat of a blank slate for others in the administration to fill in…

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November 19, 2024

DC Quick Takes: Govt. Funding, Credit Card Swipe Fees, SNAP Program, DOGE and Crypto Legislation

By Joe Lieber

With Congress in the second week of the lame duck session and as President-elect Trump continues to make headlines, there are several issues important to investors that we want to touch base on, including:   How…

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November 19, 2024

Healthcare Extenders in FY25 Spending Bill: What Is Likely, Unlikely or Toss-Up?

By Beth Steindecker

With likelihood growing that Congress focuses on emergency spending and a short-term continuing resolution funding the government into Q1 next year during this lame duck period, we expect that translates to Congress punting on nearly-annual,…

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November 15, 2024

Trump Appointees: Our Take

By Joe Lieber

If taken individually, we would expect Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. all to lose their confirmation battles and either have their names withdrawn for consideration or lose a Senate floor vote….

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November 15, 2024

(DKNG, CZR, FLUT, MGM, PENN) Texas Sports Gaming Update

By Joe Lieber

Investors should keep an eye on whether Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R-TX), an opponent of legalizing sports betting, is appointed to a position in the Trump administration, as some reports have speculated given his…

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November 15, 2024

RFK to HHS: Biopharma / Lifesciences Smoke or Fire?

By John Leppard

Key Takeaways: We are initially skeptical that Trump’s selection of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK) to lead HHS can survive Senate confirmation but, if we are wrong, would note that any HHS secretary is constrained…

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November 14, 2024

(ENSG, PACS, OHI, CTRE, SBRA) Nursing Home Relief from Minimum Staffing Rule Still Likely But as Part of FY25 Spending Bill

By Beth Steindecker

Key Takeaways:  We still expect nursing homes and their post-acute care REIT landlords to secure a reprieve from the Biden CMS rule imposing minimum nurse staffing requirements on these long-term facilities. However, we see that…

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