November 15, 2024
RFK to HHS: Biopharma / Lifesciences Smoke or Fire?
Key Takeaways: We are initially skeptical that Trump’s selection of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK) to lead HHS can survive Senate confirmation but, if we are wrong, would note that any HHS secretary is constrained…
November 14, 2024
(ENSG, PACS, OHI, CTRE, SBRA) Nursing Home Relief from Minimum Staffing Rule Still Likely But as Part of FY25 Spending Bill
Key Takeaways: We still expect nursing homes and their post-acute care REIT landlords to secure a reprieve from the Biden CMS rule imposing minimum nurse staffing requirements on these long-term facilities. However, we see that…
November 14, 2024
Macro Sequencing: Tariffs, Tax Cuts, and a Quick Take on Nominations
Key Takeaways: We see the ~60% China tariffs being implemented before the tax cuts are passed and likely within the first 100 days. We believe there’s a very good chance tax cuts pass…
November 14, 2024
Skin Substitutes: Relief for COLOB.DC, Headiwnds for CTEC.LN & ORGO
Key Takeaways: The coordinated release of finalized skin substitute local coverage determinations (LCDs) from all seven Medicare Administrative Contractors (MACs) this morning is largely in keeping with our expectations, with Coloplast (COLOB.DC) seeing the greatest…
November 13, 2024
EXAS, GH: Next Steps on Next Gen Test Rates
Key Takeaways: Following the split market reaction to EXAS [-29%] and GH [+25%] 3Q24 earnings reports last week, and investors looking to the opportunities associated with next generation colorectal cancer (CRC) screening tests Cologuard Plus…
November 13, 2024
Louisiana 51% Sports Betting Tax Hike Bill Withdrawn
In positive news for DKNG, CZR, MGM and PENN, Louisiana state Rep. Roger Wilder (R) withdrew his bill this morning that would hike taxes on sports gambling from 15% to 51%. Yesterday, we wrote here…
November 12, 2024
(UNH, AMED) Reported Threat of DOJ Complaint Brings Overhang and Extended Invitation to Negotiate
Key Takeaways: We continue to expect that UNH’s acquisition AMED will be completed, despite reports that the DOJ is preparing to sue to block the $3.3B deal on antitrust concerns. While clearly a setback, this…
November 12, 2024
(DKNG, CZR, FLUT, MGM, PENN) Don’t Bet on Louisiana’s 51% Tax Hike
We doubt that legislation introduced yesterday by State Rep. Roger Wilder (R) to increase the sports Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) tax from 15% to 51% in Louisiana will be passed in the special session, which…
November 10, 2024
Lantheus (LNTH): CMS Corrects Payments, Pylarify Rates Down 46%
Key Takeaways: Consistent with our pre- and post-rule expectations [here, here, here], CMS this weekend has updated the payment tables released with its CY25 hospital outpatient rule on Nov. 1, reducing the per unit rate…
November 8, 2024
DC Quick Takes: Lame Duck, House Elections Update and Beyond
Congress is back next week for the lame duck session and there is a laundry list of items that various constituencies would like to see enacted. Meanwhile, it still looks like the Republicans will maintain…