October 9, 2026
[HUM, CLOV, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC]: MA Star Ratings Raises Stake for Litigation Anew and Policy Debate
While last night’s widely telegraphed Star Ratings delivered clear winners [HUM, CLOV, Devoted Health (pvt)] and losers [ALHC] (and a mixed bag for UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, and MOH), potentially underappreciated methodological choices by CMS…
October 6, 2026
[HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, CLOV] Appeals Court Seems Skeptical of CMS But RADV Overhang Not Going Away Completely
Following yesterday’s oral appellate arguments over HUM’s challenge to Medicare Advantage (MA) risk adjustment-related audit rules, we believe a majority of the three-judge panel is likely to side with the company and the lower court…
September 18, 2026
[PNTG, BTSG, AVAH, ADUS] Home Health Comment Review Reinforces Medicare Stable Outlook and Suggests Paths for Upside
Based on our review of stakeholder comments to CMS’s proposed CY27 Medicare home health (HH) payment rule, we continue to see an avenue for HH-specific upside in the final regulation due in late October/early November…
September 8, 2026
[CNC, OSCR, UNH, HUM, CVS, ELV, MOH, CI, HQY]: Mapping Payer Policy Risk / Upside by Congressional Control in November Elections
With the November elections less than two months away, we assess how different congressional outcomes could reshape the healthcare legislative agenda for health insurers, pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs), 340B contract pharmacies, and health savings account…
August 21, 2026
[HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, AGL, ASTH]: MA Tech Changes Rule Expectations: Stars Likely in Focus, Major Risk Adjustment Change Seem Less So
The pending Contract Year (CY) 2028 Technical and Policy Changes proposal for the Medicare Advantage (MA) insurers [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, CLOV, MOH] and MA-exposed providers [AGL, ASTH] could be relatively more consequential…
August 13, 2026
OSCR, CNC, ELV: Which Known Obamacare Policy Headwinds Remain After 2026?
Through 2028, Obamacare enrollment faces two statutory headwinds after the large, still unfolding 2026 reset: The 2027 narrowing of ACA subsidy eligibility for certain non-citizens. The 2028 installation of pre-enrollment subsidy eligibility verification. For exchange…
July 29, 2026
[CNC, CVS, UNH, HUM] CMS Raises Stakes for Standalone PDPs for CY27 Part D
Tuesday’s CMS release detailing the financial components of its CY27 standalone Medicare Part D program and its decision to sunset the related two-year Part D Premium Stabilization Demo suggest additional uncertainty for standalone Part D…
July 2, 2026
Home Health: Medicare Proposal Seeks Modest 3% PDGM Recoupment Cut but Ups Spending by 2.4% and Rates Even More
Home health (HH) agencies [PNTG, BTSG, AVAH, UNH, ADUS, Elara] received a favorable surprise in CMS’s proposed CY27 Medicare HH reimbursement rule, released Wednesday. The regulation includes: A temporary 3% recoupment adjustment, matching the final…
June 25, 2026
[CVS, Walgreens, Muni Hospitals]: Cassidy 340B Draft Capping Contract Pharmacies and Overseeing 340B Face Long Odds; Other Regulatory Actions Likely in Motion
Senate HELP Chairman Bill Cassidy’s (R-LA) recently introduced 340B Drug Pricing Integrity and Affordability for Patients Act raises threats to 340B contract pharmacies (both brick-and-mortar and mail-order) [CVS and private Walgreens, and to a much…
June 18, 2026
[HUM, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, ALHC, MOH, CLOV, CI]: CMS Recalculates 2026 Star Ratings in Light of CLOV Ruling, But Financial and Legal Questions Remain
CMS informed Medicare Advantage (MA) insurers [HUM, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, ALHC, MOH, CLOV] that it is voluntarily recalculating their CY26 Star Ratings, which determine CY27 Quality Bonus Payments (QBP). Under the agency’s approach, released…