April 10, 2025
[CVS, CI, UNH]: Senate Confirmation of 3rd FTC Commissioner Allows for Future Resumption of PBM Litigation
Today’s successful Senate confirmation of Mark Meador to join the FTC as a commissioner paves the way for the FTC to officially resume its antitrust litigation against the pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) [CVS, CI, UNH,…
April 7, 2025
[HUM, ALHC, UNH, CNC, AGL, PRVA]: MA’s 5%+ Increase Met Our Expectations, But Longer-Term Coding and Part D Questions Remain
The final CY26 Medicare Advantage (MA) rate announcement met our previously-published optimistic expectations for a comfortable mid-single-digit YoY benchmark rate increase for MA insurers [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC] with CMS finalizing a 5.06% increase, largely…
April 6, 2025
[HUM, ALHC, UNH] Final Medicare Advantage Tech Changes Reg: Most Proposals Dropped Without Explanation, Await CY26 Rate Notice
CMS’s final CY26 technical changes rule for Medicare Advantage (MA) and Part D plans [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC] lived up to expectations of rolling back proposed restrictions in response to consumer complaints, but…
March 25, 2025
HUM, ALHC, UNH: Optimistic for Mid-Single Digit MA Rate Increase for CY26, Upcoding Remains a Longer-Term Issue
Anticipating CMS’s issuance of its final CY26 Medicare Advantage (MA) rate notice within the next two weeks (on or before Monday, April 7), we remain optimistic about near-term regulatory changes for MA insurers [HUM, ALHC,…
March 14, 2025
Oz Nomination: Moving towards Senate Confirmation, Medicare Advantage Comments Show Mixed View
Today’s Senate Finance Committee confirmation hearing of Dr. Mehmet Oz as Trump’s CMS Administrator provided limited new insights into his approach to Medicare, Medicaid, Obamacare, pharmacy benefit management reforms, health savings account adoption, and healthcare…
February 26, 2025
[CI, CVS, UNH, HUM, ELV, GDRX]: House Hearing Retreads Already Agreed-to PBM Reforms, Still Likely as Legislative Payfors
This morning’s House Energy and Commerce Health Subcommittee hearing on “needed” pharmacy benefit manager (PBM) reforms attempted to reinvigorate the past bipartisan and bicameral consensus for legislative changes to rein in the PBMs, but until…
February 21, 2025
UNH: Thoughts on Reported DOJ Investigation
Today’s reaction to the WSJ report that UnitedHealth (UNH) is under civil investigation by the DOJ for Medicare False Claims Act violations strikes us as overwrought, with ultimate financial liabilities (still 1-2 years away) unlikely…
February 10, 2025
Sizing Medicaid Work Requirement Risks [CNC, MOH, ELV, THC, ARDT, ENS, ADUS]
As we await the House’s budget reconciliation strategy this week, the Senate FY25 budget resolution proposal released late Friday bolsters our expectations for Medicaid work requirements, which we see as one the most likely Medicaid-related…
January 16, 2025
UNH: Though Confident, Public Policy Questions Remain
UnitedHealth’s (UNH) comments during its 4Q and full year 2024 earnings call about changes its it taking to head off certain public policy concerns (PBMs, prior authorization/claim denials) seem like the company is in catch-up…
January 14, 2025
[CVS, CI, UNH]: FTC 2nd (Negative) Report on PBMs Doesn’t Change Overhang Trajectory
The FTC’s unanimously-supported release of its second interim report on pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs), focused on specialty drug dispensing at affiliated pharmacies [CVS, CI, UNH] that generated an extra $7.3B in revenue over six years,…