UNH (US)


June 10, 2026

Hospitals, ASCs, Imaging Centers: Medicare Risk in Summer OPPS Proposal? [THC, HCA, CYH, ARDT, UHS, SGRY, UNH, RDNT]

By Beth Steindecker

While Medicaid and ACA enrollment concerns have dominated the policy overhang for hospitals this year, Medicare-related risks could move higher on investors’ radar with the release of CY27 hospital outpatient prospective payment system (OPPS) proposed…

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June 1, 2026

CLOV Star Ratings Legal Win Creates System Uncertainty but Potentially Strengthens HUM Appeal

By Beth Steindecker

Last week’s federal court ruling in favor Clover Health (CLOV) against CMS injects fresh uncertainty into the Medicare Advantage (MA) Star Ratings and quality bonus payment framework [UNH, HUM, ELV, CVS, ALHC, CNC, MOH]. While…

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May 12, 2026

UNH’s Flat-Fee PBM Model Seems in Response to Rivals and Regulators [UNH, CI, CVS]

By Beth Steindecker

UNH’s new Optum Rx model, which shifts PBM and group purchasing organization compensation in its commercial business toward transparent flat fees, appears designed to modestly outpace similar transparency initiatives from CI and CVS while aligning…

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May 7, 2026

Medicare Advantage: Policy Risk Panoply

By Beth Steindecker

With 1Q26 earnings now largely complete for the major Medicare Advantage (MA) insurers [UNH, HUM, ALHC, CVS, ELV, CNC, MOH], near-term MA policy risks remain less acute, though far from extinguished. Congressional cuts remain unlikely…

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May 1, 2026

Medicaid Work Requirements: Despite Certain Restrictive Actions, Overall State Flexibility Likely Limits Risk [CNC, MOH, HCA, THC, UHS]

By Beth Steindecker

A wave of state actions (AR, IA, ID, IN, MO, MT, NC, NE, NH) on Medicaid community engagement requirements (aka work requirements), spanning both accelerated implementation like today’s launch in NE and in some cases,…

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April 21, 2026

Another State PBM Ban on Pharmacies Invites Headline Noise – and Ultimately Legal Challenges [CVS, CI, UNH]

By Beth Steindecker

While the passage of another ban on PBM ownership of pharmacies – this time in Tennessee – could reignite some headline risk for CVS, CI, and UNH, we think the actual risk of it going…

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April 21, 2026

Being Coy on BALANCE – How Could CMS and Insurers Get to Yes [UNH, ELV, HUM, CVS, CNC, CI, MOH]

By Beth Steindecker

UnitedHealth’s (UNH) comments on its earnings call this morning, responding to a question about potential participation in CMS’s BALANCE obesity drug model, suggest that further design changes will be required for it – and likely…

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April 6, 2026

Medicare Advantage: CY27 Final Rates Provide Expected Relief, Longer-Term Risks Punted or Persist [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, PRVA, ASTH, EVH]

By Beth Steindecker

The final CY27 Medicare Advantage (MA) rate announcement, reflecting a net 2.48% YoY benchmark increase, landed within our expectations and alleviates some of the near term-pressure on MA insurers [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC]…

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March 16, 2026

Medicare Advantage: Final CY27 Rates Expectations of 1%-3% Increase [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC, PRVA, ASTH, EVH, DVA, FRE.DE]

By Beth Steindecker

We continue to expect CMS’s final CY27 rate announcement for Medicare Advantage (MA) insurers [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, CNC], affecting their contracted value-based care providers [PRVA, ASTH, EVH], to produce a low single-digit increase…

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March 2, 2026

CMS’s ELV Sanction Warnings Sends MA Risk Adjustment Message, But Does It Up the Ante on a Broader Crackdown?

By Beth Steindecker

CMS’s warning letter against ELV of potential sanctions on new Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollment underscores another enforcement lever the agency can deploy to curb improper risk adjustment behaviors and overpayments. As the agency remains committed…

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