January 21, 2026
Insurer Policy Concessions, Political Theater, & the Limits of Cost Reforms [UNH, CI, CVS, ELV]
While UNH’s announcement this morning that it will rebate its expected 2026 ACA profits has drawn the most attention – and may pressure other Obamacare insurers [ELV, CI, HUM, CNC, OSCR, MOH] to make similar…
January 20, 2026
CORRECTED: PBMs: Latest Spending Draft’s Watered-Down Reforms Are Incremental, Not Transformational [UNH, CVS, CI, CNC, ELV, HUM]
The latest draft of the government spending bill, released early this morning, presents an even more manageable policy outcome for pharmacy benefit managers (PBM) [UNH, CVS, CI, CNC, ELV, HUM] than previously expected; it revives…
January 15, 2026
Trump’s Great Healthcare Plan – We’ve Seen and Heard It Before
President Trump’s long-teased “Great Healthcare Plan”, released this morning, does little to meaningfully move the needle on healthcare redesign or cost containment beyond our prior expectations for legislative action affecting Obamacare insurers, non-ACA managed care…
December 29, 2025
Obesity Model & “Deal” Demo Exclusions
CMS’s BALANCE Model to facilitate coverage of anti-obesity medications (AOMs) [LLY, NVO] in Medicaid and Medicare Part D (PD) (standalone and Medicare Advantage plans) – released Dec. 23 – while still lacking key details, provides…
November 30, 2025
Home Health: CY26 Medicare Cuts Softened; CY27+ Still Points to Small YoY Declines [PNTG, EHAB, BTSG, ADUS, AVAH, UNH]
Home health (HH) agencies [PNTG, EHAB, BTSG, ADUS, AVAH, UNH] received meaningful relief in Friday’s final CY26 Medicare HH reimbursement rule, which pares back the proposed aggregate spending cut and rate discounts. However, CMS signals…
November 26, 2025
Medicare Advantage Tech Changes Proposal: RFI Eases Risk Adjustment Concerns, Star Rating Changes Afoot [HUM, ALHC, UNH, CVS, ELV, PRVA, ASTH]
Our read of the proposed Contract Year 2027 Policy and Technical Changes regulation for Medicare Advantage (MA) and Part D (fact sheet here), confirms our expectations for a positive regulatory backdrop for 2027 for MA [HUM, ALHC,…
November 23, 2025
ASC Wins in Final CMS Rate Rule, Slight Hospital Wins but Lingering Concerns
Ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs) [SGRY, AmSurg, THC, HCA, UNH] secured some policy wins in the final CY26 Medicare outpatient prospective payment system (OPPS) rule, consistent with the July proposal (notably a broadened covered procedure list,…
November 19, 2025
Finance Committee Hearing: Still Think ACA Subsidy Deal is More Likely Even If Late [OSCR, CNC, CYH, UHS, DVA, FMS, HQY, WBS]
This morning’s Senate Finance Committee hearing on rising healthcare costs did little to break the stalemate on Obamacare, but no one expected a breakthrough today. The hearing primarily served as a venue for both sides…
November 9, 2025
Obamacare HIX Fix: HSAs for All or Compromise on Subsidy Changes? We Still Think the Latter [OSCR, CNC, ELV, MOH, UNH, HQY, WBS, EHTH]
President Trump’s Truth Social posts over the weekend, along with that of other Republicans, suggest an existential threat for Obamacare insurers [OSCR, CNC, ELV, MOH, UNH] and potentially other commercial health insurers [CI, CVS] while…
November 7, 2025
Obesity Drug Pricing Deal: Devil in the Details
As outlined by the Trump administration, we view yesterday’s obesity drug pricing deal with NVO and LLY as a modest near-term positive (potentially better for LLY), with the $245 / mo. price point for Medicare…