November 19, 2025
Finance Committee Hearing: Still Think ACA Subsidy Deal is More Likely Even If Late [OSCR, CNC, CYH, UHS, DVA, FMS, HQY, WBS]
This morning’s Senate Finance Committee hearing on rising healthcare costs did little to break the stalemate on Obamacare, but no one expected a breakthrough today. The hearing primarily served as a venue for both sides…
November 19, 2025
DC Quick Takes: Highway Bill, Permitting Reform, Federal AI Standard, GAIN AI Act, Federal Deposit Insurance
Today we examine five market-relevant issues, including: Prospects for a highway bill next year [VMC, MLM, NUE, CX, CAT, DE, PSN, URI] Likelihood of permitting reform, which could accelerate infrastructure development, including utilities and energy…
November 18, 2025
Defense Update: FY26 Spending, the NDAA and an Impending Defense Spending Fiscal Cliff
We want to highlight three developments relevant to the defense sector: Potential positive news for the sector this week, as the Senate could vote as early as today to begin consideration of the Defense Appropriations…
November 18, 2025
IRTC Coverage Risks: Smoke or Fire?
With shares of IRTC pressured yesterday amid speculation on the risks associated with a Sept. 25 draft local coverage determination (LCD), we suspect the final version – likely released in March / April – will…
November 17, 2025
CMS Provider Tax Guidance: More Details, But Not Necessarily Stricter or More Aggressive Interpretation [ARDT, CYH, HCA, THC, UHS, CNC, MOH, ELV]
CMS’s preliminary guidance to states on its interpretation of the One Big Beautiful Bill’s (OBBB) Medicaid provider tax provisions does not appear to tighten the screws on states, and thereby threaten hospitals [ARDT, CYH, HCA,…
November 17, 2025
Capitol Policy Weekly: Another Government Shutdown, the Epstein Files, Deposit Insurance, the CFTC, BABA and the Saudi Visit
Congress is in session this week before adjourning for the Thanksgiving holiday. Although lawmakers just passed legislation to keep the government open, there is already renewed concern about another potential shutdown on January 31, when…
November 14, 2025
MMSI: Wrapsody Outpatient Margin Implications
Consistent with our long-held expectations [here, here], MMSI’s disclosure yesterday that CMS has “deferred” a decision on its Wrapsody transitional pass-through (TPT) payment application suggests a greater likelihood that it was denied, in our view,…
November 13, 2025
GKOS: iDose Medicare Coverage Expectations
Yesterday’s Medicare Administrative Contractor (MAC) advisory committee (CAC) meeting on GKOS’s iDose bolsters our relatively sanguine outlook going into the event [here, here], and would expect any headwinds from a likely mid-2026 draft local coverage…
November 13, 2025
(NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, META) AI Sector: Federal Pre-emption of State Law Unlikely for Now
We continue to believe that efforts to prevent states and localities from enforcing AI-specific laws or regulations for up to 10 years is unlikely to become federal law for at least the duration of President…
November 10, 2025
Capitol Policy Weekly: Government Shutdown, Stimulus, ACA Subsidies, Syria and Ukraine
Both the House and Senate will very likely be in session this week, with the government shutdown seemingly on the verge of ending later this week. In addition, President Trump has reiterated his desire to…