August 12, 2025
Rx Most Favored Nation Company Risks
With President Trump demanding “binding commitments” from drug manufacturers to offer Most Favored Nation (MFN) pricing by Sept. 29, we outline company-specific revenue risks and our expectations for an eventual regulatory proposal in 4Q25 /…
August 8, 2025
Stephen Miran Can Be Confirmed before the Next Fed Meeting
In our view, if President Trump insist, we believe that Stephen Miran can be confirmed by the Senate before the September 17 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. While the market already anticipates that the…
August 7, 2025
House 2026 Election Preview
While we are a more than a year away from the mid-term elections, we offer our early view about which party might control the House after next November. Our bottom line: we expect the House…
August 7, 2025
Health Insurer / Provider Legislative Agenda: Band-Aid Likely in September CR, More Substantial Package Potentially Later in the Year
With the August recess in full swing for the next few weeks, the various healthcare-related legislative items on Congress’s to-do list (see below) remains lengthy for the rest of the calendar year. We are still…
August 5, 2025
Trade and Tariff Update: Unpacking Trump’s Comments
We have the following takeaways on trade and tariffs regarding President Trump’s interview on CNBC this morning. While Trump mentioned that he would raise tariffs on India over the next 24 hours since India continues…
August 3, 2025
Hospices, IRFs, IPFs: Thoughts on Final FY26 Medicare Payment Rules
Medicare’s final FY26 payment regulations for hospices [CHE, AMED, ADUS, PNTG, BTSG, Gentiva, Compassus, Elara], inpatient rehab facilities (IRFs) [EHC, SEM], and inpatient psych facilities (IPFs) [UHS, ACHC] aligned with expectations for: 1) slightly higher aggregate spending…
August 1, 2025
Hospitals, LTCHs, SNFs: Thoughts on Medicare’s Final FY26 Inpatient Rate Rules
Medicare’s final FY26 payment regulations for inpatient hospitals [HCA, THC, CYH, ARDT, UHS, MPW, municipal bond-backed facilities], long-term care hospitals (LTCHs) [SEM, Kindred], and skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) [ENSG, PACS, Providence] with implications for their post-acute…
July 31, 2025
Trade and Tariff Conference Call Takeaways
With the August 1 tariff deadline tomorrow, we have the following takeaways from our trade and tariff conference call that we held yesterday morning with Derek Scissors. A transcript is available upon request. Takeaways Derek…
July 31, 2025
The State of Biopharma, Tools, & Research Spending
This morning’s Senate Appropriations Committee’s markup of the FY26 Labor / HHS funding bill, which includes a $400M increase (+0.8% YoY) for NIH, should serve as an interim clearing event for life science tools (LST)…
July 30, 2025
HUM: MA Stars Lawsuit May Provide Another Boost to HUM, Timing Unknown
Against the backdrop of positive Q2 earnings, upward full-year guidance, and voiced confidence in the ability to manage the medical cost and utilization trends throughout 2H and into next year, we think the recently refiled…