September 26, 2025
Medicare Advantage RADV Audits in Legal Limbo, But Don’t Discount Its Resurrection [HUM, UNH, CVS, CNC, ELV, ALHC]
Medicare Advantage (MA) insurers [HUM, UNH, CVS, CNC, ELV, ALHC] received some positive legal news that for now neutralizes the concern of widespread Medicare audits and potential concomitant recoupments. However, yesterday’s federal district court ruling…
September 25, 2025
Obamacare Fix: Still Optimistic, But Not Clean or Near Term [OSCR, CNC, HCA, THC, UHS, ACHC]
We continue to be optimistic and think the odds have risen above 50% that Congress later this year reaches a compromise to “fix” the expiring enhanced Obamacare subsidies, which would further remove some of the…
September 25, 2025
Rx Pricing: MFN Demo Incoming?
The White House’s Office of Management & Budget’s (OMB) disclosure this morning that it is reviewing what appears to be a Most Favored Nation (MFN) drug pricing model is consistent with our long-held expectations, if…
September 22, 2025
DC Quick Takes: Govt. Shutdown, NDAA, Durbin 2.0 (V, MA), Interest on Fed Reserves (JPM, C, BAC, WFC), and GAIN AI Act (NVDA, AMD)
We continue to believe that the odds of a government shutdown are at least 75%, though that might be too low given that Congress is out of session this week. The Senate is scheduled back…
September 18, 2025
Odds and Impacts of a Government Shutdown
We are bumping our odds to ~75% (up from 65%) that a government shutdown occurs on Oct. 1. This is partially in light of the Democrats’ funding proposal, which includes: A continuing resolution (CR) funding…
September 15, 2025
Capitol Policy Weekly: Government Shutdown/Funding, NDAA, Healthcare, and the HIRE Act
Both chambers of Congress are in session this week before a scheduled recess next week for Rosh Hashana, though we suspect that break will be cut short given the need to avoid a government shutdown…
September 11, 2025
[EXAS, GH] Colorectal Cancer Coverage to Get More Crowded
With CMS reopening its coverage policy for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening yesterday after the close, it seems likely that the space will get a bit more crowded for EXAS and GH, as we would expect…
September 10, 2025
Status of Medicaid Work Requirements Among States [CNC, MOH, CYH, HCA, THC, UHS, ACHC, MMS]
Headline risk to Medicaid insurers [CNC, MOH], hospitals [CYH, HCA, THC], behavioral providers [UHS, ACHC], and Medicaid contractors [MMS] is likely to ramp up in the coming months as 15 states take affirmative steps toward…
September 10, 2025
Trade Potpourri: IEEPA, GOOG and the EU, China and India and the GAIN AI Act (NVDA, AMD)
Below our are thoughts on the following recent trade issue developments: The U.S. Supreme Court decision to hear the Trump administration’s appeal of a lower court ruling invalidating the president’s reciprocal and fentanyl tariffs under…
September 10, 2025
Rx Advertising: Policy Quick Take
While we can at this point give no better than tossup odds to FDA plans to curtail direct-to-consumer (DTC) drug advertisements surviving inevitable legal challenges, we caution that the enforcement approach outlined by the agency…