June 17, 2026
(NVDA, AMD, GOOGL, META, CRWV, Anthropic, OpenAI) AI Regulation: State Patchwork, Federal Export Controls, and NDAA Chip Watch
We remain skeptical that Congress will pass comprehensive federal AI legislation this year or likely next year, leaving companies to navigate a state-by-state regulatory patchwork since no current federal law exists that broadly preempts state…
June 17, 2026
Rx MFN: Sector Risk Inbound?
Yesterday’s disclosure by the Office of Management & Budget (OMB) that it is reviewing a finalized Medicare Part D Most Favored Nation (MFN) policy suggests the administration likely intends to move forward with its late…
June 16, 2026
EW: TAVR Draft Coverage Puts & Takes
CMS’s draft coverage policy for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) appears largely consistent with our initial expectations, likely bringing some incremental upside as well. If finalized largely as proposed in Sept., as seems probable, we…
June 15, 2026
[OSCR, CNC, ELV, HCA, THC, CYH, UHS]: ACA Court Win Offers Limited Relief as Obamacare Enrollment Headwinds Remain
Last week’s ACA-related court ruling permanently, which enjoined key portions of the CY25 Obamacare regulation, may initially reassure insurers [OSCR, CNC, ELV] and hospitals [HCA, THC, CYH, UHS, ARDT] about certain enrollment-related program integrity headwinds….
June 15, 2026
Political Potpourri: Iran Deal and Potential Delays, USMCA Risks Build, and Shutdown Headlines Loom
We see three Washington policy-related risks that are likely to generate headline risk, including: A tentative U.S.-Iran agreement that will probably be extended beyond the 60-day timeframe and should hold at least through the midterm…
June 15, 2026
Capitol Policy Weekly: Compressed Calendar Threatens Reconciliation 3.0, CLARITY, and Tech Policy
The Senate is in session, and the House is out this week, which matters because the calendar is becoming the biggest obstacle for several Republican and industry-backed priorities that still need meaningful floor time before…
June 11, 2026
[EW, MDT, ABT] TAVR: Incremental Gains From Expected Coverage
In advance of the CMS draft coverage decision for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) due June 15 (final Sept. 15), we expect policy changes that – while positive – may be more incremental in their…
June 11, 2026
(RTX, LMT, GD, BAE, BA) Defense Spending Update
Despite President Trump’s comments on Truth Social about the need to pass Reconciliation 3.0 for an additional $350 billion in defense spending, we think he will be disappointed. We continue our long-held belief that: Defense…
June 10, 2026
Hospitals, ASCs, Imaging Centers: Medicare Risk in Summer OPPS Proposal? [THC, HCA, CYH, ARDT, UHS, SGRY, UNH, RDNT]
While Medicaid and ACA enrollment concerns have dominated the policy overhang for hospitals this year, Medicare-related risks could move higher on investors’ radar with the release of CY27 hospital outpatient prospective payment system (OPPS) proposed…
June 10, 2026
Trump and the USMCA
We wanted to provide our thoughts on comments made by President Trump earlier this afternoon when he said he was not looking to renew the USMCA. We do not interpret Trump’s comments as signaling an…