NVDA (US)

Yesterday’s announcement by the White House to allow Nvidia (NVDA to sell the H200 chip to China reinforces our view that there’s an out of consensus 40-50% probability that NVDA could sell the more advanced…

We continue to expect that three of the most material non-defense-related items that some members of Congress hoped to include in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) will not make the final cut. Those amendments are:  GAIN…

Congress returns to Washington this week, with little on the formal legislative agenda likely to move markets. Still, investors should keep an eye on the following developments:   A potential Trump administration farm aid announcement.   Progress…

With Nvidia (NVDA) exports to China once again making headlines, we see roughly a 40–50% probability that the company will be permitted to export China-specific versions of its Blackwell chips as early as next year. …

With President Trump in Asia and trade agreements expected between the U.S. and various countries, including at least a narrow deal with China, we held a conference call yesterday with trade expert Dr. Derek Scissors. …

Below our are thoughts on the following recent trade issue developments: The U.S. Supreme Court decision to hear the Trump administration’s appeal of a lower court ruling invalidating the president’s reciprocal and fentanyl tariffs under…

We provide our takeaways from a trade and tariff conference call we hosted last week considering tomorrow’s expiration of President Trump’s 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs, though the effective rates have been pushed to August…

The big news we expect out of Washington this week, with Congress in session, includes:   A release by the Senate Finance Committee of its tax, Medicaid, and perhaps Medicare mark for the reconciliation bill….