MDT (US)


July 16, 2025

Misses For LNTH, LIVN, PRCT, Wins for BSX / MDT

By John Leppard

CMS’s CY26 hospital outpatient proposal last night hews closely to our expectations going in: INSP: With the company targeting use of LIVN’s cranial nerve code for its Inspire V device, payment group reassignment likely would…

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July 11, 2025

[MDT, Otsuka] Renal Denervation: Broad Coverage, With Constraints

By John Leppard

We view CMS’s coverage proposal for renal denervation (RDN) [Medtronic (MDT), Otsuka (4578.JT)] as an incremental positive relative to our expectations, but likely to be largely in line in terms of its effects. With patients…

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February 19, 2025

Renal Denervation: Medicare Coverage at 10%-20% of TAM?

By John Leppard

We suspect CMS’s draft National Coverage Determination (NCD) for renal denervation (RDN) [Medtronic, Otsuka] – scheduled for release July 13 – will limit eligibility to 10-20% (~3.1M-7.5M) of the estimated ~32M Medicare beneficiaries with hypertension…

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January 13, 2025

Medtronic: Medicare RDN Coverage in 4Q24

By John Leppard

In keeping with expectations laid out in our note late last week, CMS’s opening of a National Coverage Analysis (NCA) for renal denervation (RDN) [Medtronic (MDT), Otsuka (4578.JT) / ReCor] this afternoon has a target…

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January 10, 2025

Medtronic (MDT): Renal Denervation Coverage Read-Through?

By John Leppard

This morning’s opening of a Medicare National Coverage Determination (NCD) for privately-held Impulse Dynamics’ Optimizer System bolsters our view that coverage for renal denervation (RDN) systems [Medtronic (MDT), Otsuka / ReCor (4578.JT)] is unlikely to…

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January 6, 2025

Conference Policy Prep Pack: Devices, Diagnostics, & Tools

By John Leppard

With medical device, equipment, diagnostics, and life science tools (LST) companies set to descend on San Francisco next week for a key investor conference, below we provide a set of significant policy-related questions for clients…

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November 20, 2024

[UNH, HUM, ALHC, AGL, PRVA, MD]: Trump’s Unorthodox CMS Pick Reinforces Already Anticipated Support for Medicare Advantage and Physicians

By Beth Steindecker

President Trump’s surprise and unorthodox nomination of Dr. Mehmet Oz to be CMS administrator, whom we presume will likely be confirmed, affords somewhat of a blank slate for others in the administration to fill in…

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November 4, 2024

[MDT, BSX, LIVN, CVRX] Medtech Medicare Rule Puts & Takes

By John Leppard

Key Takeaways: We appear to have run the table with our pre-rule expectations [here, here] following CMS’s release Friday of its CY25 hospital outpatient payment rule, which includes the following company-specific implications: MDT & Otsuka…

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October 28, 2024

[BSX, MDT, LIVN, INSP, CVRX] Catalyst Watch: Medicare Rate Rule Prep Pack

By John Leppard

Key Takeaways: With CMS likely to release its final CY25 hospital outpatient payment rule by Friday (typically aftermarket) or early next week, we offer the following expectations for key product payment decisions, listed in market…

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October 8, 2024

[EW, ABT] Tricuspid Coverage & Sales Trajectory

By John Leppard

Key Takeaways: As investors look to model out sales of Edwards Lifesciences’ (EW) Evoque tricuspid valve replacement in advance of CMS’s draft National Coverage Determination (NCD), which is expected by ~Dec. 20 (final policy due…

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