August 7, 2025
Health Insurer / Provider Legislative Agenda: Band-Aid Likely in September CR, More Substantial Package Potentially Later in the Year
With the August recess in full swing for the next few weeks, the various healthcare-related legislative items on Congress’s to-do list (see below) remains lengthy for the rest of the calendar year. We are still…
July 22, 2025
Obamacare Enhanced Subsidy Debate – Where We Stand [OSCR, CNC, ELV, THC, CYH, UHS]
While exchange insurers (OSCR, CNC, ELV) and hospitals (THC, CYH, ARDT, UHS, HCA) try to figure out their Obamacare businesses for next year with the various regulatory and reconciliation-related changes leading to anticipated enrollment declines…
July 16, 2025
Medicare CY26 OPPS Proposal: Hospital Outpatient Departments a Loser While ASCs a Winner
Hospitals [CYH, ARDT, UHS, THC, HCA] were on the losing end of the stick under CMS’s proposed CY26 Medicare reimbursement rule for hospital outpatient departments (HOPDs) and ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs) for a variety of…
July 9, 2025
Reconciliation: Final Healthcare Provisions; Clarifying Tweaks to DPP Language and Overlooked Parts of Work Requirements
While we still agree with consensus about the negative bias towards hospitals and Medicaid insurers from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBA) signed into law last Friday, we note a few tweaks in the…
June 8, 2025
[HCA, THC, CYH, hospitals] White House Memo Adds Another Wrinkle to State-Directed Payment Programs in Medicaid
A new complication has arisen for hospitals [HCA, THC, CYH, ARDT, UHS, non-profit / municipally-backed facilities] – and to a lesser extent nursing homes, behavioral providers, and certain physicians – in the debate over payment…
June 3, 2025
Potential Targets for Change Among Healthcare Reconciliation Policies [THC, ARDT, CNC, MOH, ELV]
As we await the Senate’s likely release of its reconciliation measure over the next week or so, we continue to expect the upper chamber to smooth the edges around some of the House-passed reconciliation bill’s…
May 12, 2025
Healthcare & Reconciliation: Worst Case Avoided
The House Energy & Commerce Committee’s (E&C) reconciliation draft (text and summary) seems to largely align with our expectations regarding cuts / risks in Medicaid, Obamacare, and pharmacy benefit managers (PBM). While there were still…
April 29, 2025
[CNC, MOH, ELV, ARDT, UHS, CYH] Rising Risk of Medicaid Expansion Reforms in Reconciliation – Per-Capita Cap in the Lead
A week away from an anticipated House Energy and Commerce committee (E&C) hearing – and whose timing could easily slip – we do not see any release of pressure on Medicaid insurers [CNC, MOH, ELV,…
April 16, 2025
Trump Biopharma EO: Laying the Groundwork for Additional Hospital Reconciliation Targets [municipal-backed, HCA, THC, CYH, ARDT, UHS]
President Trump’s executive order (EO) on biopharma yesterday suggests the hospital sector is a larger target than administration officials have let on to date and seems to proffer more substance about additional ways to garner…
March 10, 2025
[OSCR, ELV, CNC, HCA, THC]: Targeting Obamacare Program Integrity in Rulemaking and Legislation
With all eyes focused on whether Congress will extend the enhanced ACA subsidies or let them lapse – we remain optimistic of a middle ground (revision and extension) – we caution investors about the headline…