June 17, 2026
(NVDA, AMD, GOOGL, META, CRWV, Anthropic, OpenAI) AI Regulation: State Patchwork, Federal Export Controls, and NDAA Chip Watch
We remain skeptical that Congress will pass comprehensive federal AI legislation this year or likely next year, leaving companies to navigate a state-by-state regulatory patchwork since no current federal law exists that broadly preempts state…
May 13, 2026
(NVDA, AMD, BA) Conference Call Takeaways: Trump/Xi Summit
Below are the key takeaways from our conference call on this week’s Trump/Xi summit in Beijing. During the call, we touched on trade in general as well as the USMCA agreement. Our base case remains…
May 1, 2026
(NVDA, AMD) Congress Adds China Chip Risk, But Trump Likely Wants Flexibility
Sen. Jim Banks (R-IN) introduced his version of the AI Overwatch Act yesterday, which would, among other things, impose a two-year ban on sales of high-end AI chips such as Nvidia’s (NVDA) Blackwell systems to…
March 24, 2026
AI Policy: Trump Blueprint Debate; Limited NVDA Export Risk
Recent developments on the AI front – including the Trump administration’s recently released AI policy blueprint and a letter made public today from Sens. Jim Banks (R-IN) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), urging an immediate pause in Nvidia (NVDA) AI chip exports to China, highlighting that while there will continue to be a great deal of sound coming out of DC, we’re…
December 3, 2025
(NVDA, AMD, V, MA, WMT, TGT, HD) NDAA Update: Tech and Credit Card Amendments Unlikely to Survive
We continue to expect that three of the most material non-defense-related items that some members of Congress hoped to include in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) will not make the final cut. Those amendments are: GAIN…
December 1, 2025
Capitol Policy Weekly: Farm Aid, the GAIN AI Act, U.S.-Canada Trade, Russia-Ukraine and a Tennessee Special Election
Congress returns to Washington this week, with little on the formal legislative agenda likely to move markets. Still, investors should keep an eye on the following developments: A potential Trump administration farm aid announcement. Progress…
September 10, 2025
Trade Potpourri: IEEPA, GOOG and the EU, China and India and the GAIN AI Act (NVDA, AMD)
Below our are thoughts on the following recent trade issue developments: The U.S. Supreme Court decision to hear the Trump administration’s appeal of a lower court ruling invalidating the president’s reciprocal and fentanyl tariffs under…
July 8, 2025
Trade and Tariff Conference Call Takeaway
We provide our takeaways from a trade and tariff conference call we hosted last week considering tomorrow’s expiration of President Trump’s 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs, though the effective rates have been pushed to August…